Potential Conflict Identification of Terminal-Area Traffic Flow Based on Three-Dimensional Trajectory Tube Structures
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Abstract:
With the rapid development of aviation industry, the density of terminal-airspace traffic has increased significantly, resulting in higher potential conflict among aircraft. To address this issue, this study proposes a potential conflict identification method for terminal airspace based on three-dimensional (3D) trajectory tube structures. The approach first clusters arrival trajectories to identify major traffic flows and constructs corresponding 3D trajectory tubes. It then introduces traffic-flow parameters into a probabilistic model, which is combined with three-dimensional airspace gridding to identify and locate potential conflict regions. The results demonstrate that the proposed method can effectively detect potential conflict areas within a 15 min time window and analyze the interactions among traffic flows within these regions. This research provides a valuable framework for improving the safety and efficiency of terminal airspace operations, offering both theoretical and practical significance for airspace optimization and decision-support enhancement.
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This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.U2333204, U1833103).
LI Nan, LIU Xinrui, PENG Jiayi, ZHU Yan, WANG Hongyong. Potential Conflict Identification of Terminal-Area Traffic Flow Based on Three-Dimensional Trajectory Tube Structures[J]. Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,2026,(4):614-630